{"id":235,"date":"2024-07-14T16:17:16","date_gmt":"2024-07-14T16:17:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.futureafrica.science\/farleaf\/?p=235"},"modified":"2024-07-14T16:17:16","modified_gmt":"2024-07-14T16:17:16","slug":"dr-vincent-pagiwa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.futureafrica.science\/farleaf\/far-leaf-profiles\/dr-vincent-pagiwa\/","title":{"rendered":"Dr Vincent Pagiwa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-av_section-81cba3fe9780cbbde7ac81417f4b72a1\">\n.avia-section.av-av_section-81cba3fe9780cbbde7ac81417f4b72a1{\nbackground-repeat:no-repeat;\nbackground-image:url(https:\/\/www.futureafrica.science\/farleaf\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/content-banner.jpg);\nbackground-position:50% 50%;\nbackground-attachment:scroll;\n}\n.avia-section.av-av_section-81cba3fe9780cbbde7ac81417f4b72a1 .av-section-color-overlay{\nopacity:0.5;\nbackground-color:#000000;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div 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itemprop=\"blogPost\" ><div class='avia_textblock'  itemprop=\"text\" ><div class=\"breadcrumb breadcrumbs avia-breadcrumbs\"><div class=\"breadcrumb-trail\" ><span class=\"trail-before\"><span class=\"breadcrumb-title\">You are here:<\/span><\/span> <span  itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/BreadcrumbList\" ><span  itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/ListItem\" itemprop=\"itemListElement\" ><a itemprop=\"url\" href=\"https:\/\/www.futureafrica.science\/farleaf\" title=\"FARLeaF\" rel=\"home\" class=\"trail-begin\"><span itemprop=\"name\">Home<\/span><\/a><span itemprop=\"position\" class=\"hidden\">1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/section>\n\n<\/div><\/div><\/main><!-- close content main element --><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-av_section-e4a865481a2068a50ab1b4a6c9d82b91\">\n.avia-section.av-av_section-e4a865481a2068a50ab1b4a6c9d82b91{\nbackground-color:#ffffff;\nbackground-image:unset;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div id='av_section_2'  class='avia-section av-av_section-e4a865481a2068a50ab1b4a6c9d82b91 main_color avia-section-small avia-no-border-styling  avia-builder-el-2  el_after_av_section  el_before_av_layout_row  avia-bg-style-scroll container_wrap fullsize'  ><div class='container av-section-cont-open' ><div class='template-page content  av-content-full alpha units'><div class='post-entry post-entry-type-page post-entry-235'><div class='entry-content-wrapper clearfix'>\n<div  class='flex_column av-av_one_full-724e29f1d72ca26394d8119dc5adb5f9 av_one_full  avia-builder-el-3  avia-builder-el-no-sibling  first flex_column_div av-animated-generic left-to-right  '     ><style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-lylr9wzx-6931546ee0d92b01a2eb3a8c04178c7a\">\n#top .av-special-heading.av-lylr9wzx-6931546ee0d92b01a2eb3a8c04178c7a{\npadding-bottom:10px;\n}\nbody .av-special-heading.av-lylr9wzx-6931546ee0d92b01a2eb3a8c04178c7a .av-special-heading-tag .heading-char{\nfont-size:25px;\n}\n.av-special-heading.av-lylr9wzx-6931546ee0d92b01a2eb3a8c04178c7a .av-subheading{\nfont-size:15px;\n}\n\n@media only screen and (min-width: 480px) and (max-width: 767px){ \n#top #wrap_all .av-special-heading.av-lylr9wzx-6931546ee0d92b01a2eb3a8c04178c7a .av-special-heading-tag{\nfont-size:20px;\n}\n}\n\n@media only screen and (max-width: 479px){ \n#top #wrap_all .av-special-heading.av-lylr9wzx-6931546ee0d92b01a2eb3a8c04178c7a .av-special-heading-tag{\nfont-size:20px;\n}\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='av-special-heading av-lylr9wzx-6931546ee0d92b01a2eb3a8c04178c7a av-special-heading-h2 blockquote modern-quote  avia-builder-el-4  avia-builder-el-no-sibling '><h2 class='av-special-heading-tag '  itemprop=\"headline\"  >Climate Change and Malaria Variability in the Okavango Region of Botswana: a Social Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity Assessment<\/h2><div class='av-subheading av-subheading_below'><p>DR VINCENT PAGIWA<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"special-heading-border\"><div class=\"special-heading-inner-border\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><!-- close content main div --><\/div><\/div><div id='av-layout-grid-1'  class='av-layout-grid-container av-av_layout_row-1c531bd9ce3865591f89f1b08c9e3200 entry-content-wrapper main_color av-flex-cells  avia-builder-el-5  el_after_av_section  el_before_av_postcontent  container grid-row-not-first  container_wrap fullsize'  >\n\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-av_cell_one_half-0778e7d338433c1d9d2a4436509fcc48\">\n.flex_cell.av-av_cell_one_half-0778e7d338433c1d9d2a4436509fcc48{\nvertical-align:top;\nbackground-color:#f8f8f8;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div class='flex_cell av-av_cell_one_half-0778e7d338433c1d9d2a4436509fcc48 av-gridrow-cell av_one_half no_margin  avia-builder-el-6  el_before_av_cell_one_half  avia-builder-el-first  content-align-top'  ><div class='flex_cell_inner'><div  class='flex_column av-av_one_full-724e29f1d72ca26394d8119dc5adb5f9 av_one_full  avia-builder-el-7  avia-builder-el-no-sibling  first flex_column_div av-animated-generic left-to-right  '     ><style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-lylrcfmy-f6fd546ddc1fede2bb7bcabdd9540fa2\">\n#top .av_textblock_section.av-lylrcfmy-f6fd546ddc1fede2bb7bcabdd9540fa2 .avia_textblock{\ntext-align:justify;\n}\n<\/style>\n<section  class='av_textblock_section av-lylrcfmy-f6fd546ddc1fede2bb7bcabdd9540fa2 '   itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/BlogPosting\" itemprop=\"blogPost\" ><div class='avia_textblock'  itemprop=\"text\" ><p>Vector-borne diseases like malaria impose a heavy burden on human health, especially on vulnerable populations like those in the Okavango Delta in Botswana. Despite global efforts over the past decade, the World Health Organisation reported an estimated 241 million cases of the disease and some 627\u00a0000 malaria-related deaths in 2020. Half of the world\u2019s population is vulnerable to malaria, with sub-Saharan African countries bearing the highest risk.<\/p>\n<p>While Botswana has seen a remarkable decline in confirmed cases, current malaria control successes and elimination targets are threatened by several factors \u2013 including climate change. An increase in temperature is a crucial variable for determining the range of disease transmission in a swampy area like the Okavango Delta. Temperatures above the optimal range of 25 to 27\u00b0C risk the breeding of mosquitos carrying malaria parasites in places that were previously \u201cclean\u201d. This may result in an increase in malaria cases in the region, which is a popular tourist destination.<\/p>\n<p>Another boost in the expansion of malaria-prone areas comes from social and economic pressures resulting from population growth, population migrations, drug and pesticide resistance, and the deterioration of health service delivery systems.<\/p>\n<p>Thus far, vulnerability assessments in the area have focused on the biophysical influences of malaria transmission, but have overlooked the impact of socio-economic factors and the health system\u2019s adaptive capacity to climate change. There is also a need to assess household and health system factors that expose communities and individuals to malaria infections.<\/p>\n<p>Dr Vincent Pagiwa plans to tackle this issue with his Future Africa Research Leader Fellowship (FAR-LeaF) research project, \u2018Climate change and malaria variability in the Okavango region of Botswana: A social vulnerability and adaptive capacity assessment\u2019. His objectives are to identify socio-economic factors associated with malaria transmission in the target region, measure the variability of malaria in relation to these socio-economic exposures and determine the health system\u2019s adaptive capacity to climate change.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/section><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-av_cell_one_half-0778e7d338433c1d9d2a4436509fcc48\">\n.flex_cell.av-av_cell_one_half-0778e7d338433c1d9d2a4436509fcc48{\nvertical-align:top;\nbackground-color:#f8f8f8;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div class='flex_cell av-av_cell_one_half-0778e7d338433c1d9d2a4436509fcc48 av-gridrow-cell av_one_half no_margin  avia-builder-el-9  el_after_av_cell_one_half  avia-builder-el-last  content-align-top'  ><div class='flex_cell_inner'><p><div  class='flex_column av-av_one_full-724e29f1d72ca26394d8119dc5adb5f9 av_one_full  avia-builder-el-10  el_before_av_three_fifth  avia-builder-el-first  first flex_column_div av-animated-generic left-to-right  '     ><style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-lylrcpkd-bdc45439f3b711ff9a175179364ffb92\">\n#top .av_textblock_section.av-lylrcpkd-bdc45439f3b711ff9a175179364ffb92 .avia_textblock{\ntext-align:justify;\n}\n<\/style>\n<section  class='av_textblock_section av-lylrcpkd-bdc45439f3b711ff9a175179364ffb92 '   itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/BlogPosting\" itemprop=\"blogPost\" ><div class='avia_textblock'  itemprop=\"text\" ><p>A vulnerability assessment will help the researchers to understand the people and places that are most susceptible to malaria associated with climate-related exposures. With this data, they will be able to aid policymakers in targeting interventions and the strategic allocation of resources to reduce the malaria burden in Okavango and other regions newly prone to the disease in Botswana.<\/p>\n<p>Dr Pagiwa will make use of a series of data sources, including health registries; the population census register; self-administered knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) surveys; key policy documents; and in-depth interviews with key informants to create a cumulative vulnerability score for the geographic units within the target area.<\/p>\n<p>Using an overlay analysis approach, a social vulnerability and adaptive capacity assessment will identify communities and places that are susceptible to climate-sensitive malaria transmission. By identifying social vulnerabilities, the Ministry of Health and Wellness can develop health interventions and health adaptation strategies explicitly tailored to the Okavango region, and help identify communities and individuals that were not previously considered susceptible to malaria.<\/p>\n<p><strong><small>Dr Vincent Pagiwa is a public health research fellow at the University of Botswana\u2019s Okavango Research Institute. He holds a PhD in Public Health from La Trobe University, Australia; an MSc in Public Health Management from Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific University, Japan; and a BSc in Nursing from North-West University, South Africa. His research interests include health policy analysis; health systems strengthening through systems-thinking approaches; the evaluation of health programmes; efficiency in public health services delivery; disease mapping and stratification; One Health; and the climate change-health nexus, with a focus on developing countries.<\/small><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div><\/section><\/div><div class='flex_column_table av-av_three_fifth-b40918d7eb29fabc4ed6d787f2e092d0 sc-av_three_fifth av-break-at-tablet-flextable av-equal-height-column-flextable'>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-av_three_fifth-b40918d7eb29fabc4ed6d787f2e092d0\">\n.flex_column.av-av_three_fifth-b40918d7eb29fabc4ed6d787f2e092d0{\npadding:0px 0px 0px 0px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='flex_column av-av_three_fifth-b40918d7eb29fabc4ed6d787f2e092d0 av_three_fifth  avia-builder-el-12  el_after_av_one_full  el_before_av_two_fifth  first no_margin av-break-at-tablet flex_column_table_cell av-equal-height-column av-align-middle av-animated-generic left-to-right av-zero-column-padding  column-top-margin'     ><style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-lylrbbqs-2d96628f82e07fe746e77d4b155eedab\">\n.avia-image-container.av-lylrbbqs-2d96628f82e07fe746e77d4b155eedab img.avia_image{\nbox-shadow:none;\n}\n.avia-image-container.av-lylrbbqs-2d96628f82e07fe746e77d4b155eedab .av-image-caption-overlay-center{\ncolor:#ffffff;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='avia-image-container av-lylrbbqs-2d96628f82e07fe746e77d4b155eedab av-styling- avia-align-center  avia-builder-el-13  avia-builder-el-no-sibling '   itemprop=\"image\" itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\" ><div class=\"avia-image-container-inner\"><div class=\"avia-image-overlay-wrap\"><img decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\" class='wp-image-209 avia-img-lazy-loading-not-209 avia_image ' src=\"https:\/\/www.futureafrica.science\/farleaf\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/Vincent-01.jpg\" alt='' title=''  height=\"338\" width=\"600\"  itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.futureafrica.science\/farleaf\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/Vincent-01.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.futureafrica.science\/farleaf\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/Vincent-01-300x169.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-av_two_fifth-0dd859e177ac684dcfebed49eaaaf342\">\n.flex_column.av-av_two_fifth-0dd859e177ac684dcfebed49eaaaf342{\npadding:15px 15px 15px 15px;\nbackground-color:#1a78bd;\n}\n\n@media only screen and (min-width: 480px) and (max-width: 767px){ \n.flex_column.av-av_two_fifth-0dd859e177ac684dcfebed49eaaaf342{\npadding:15px 15px 15px 15px;\n}\n}\n\n@media only screen and (max-width: 479px){ \n.flex_column.av-av_two_fifth-0dd859e177ac684dcfebed49eaaaf342{\npadding:15px 15px 15px 15px;\n}\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='flex_column av-av_two_fifth-0dd859e177ac684dcfebed49eaaaf342 av_two_fifth  avia-builder-el-14  el_after_av_three_fifth  avia-builder-el-last  no_margin av-break-at-tablet flex_column_table_cell av-equal-height-column av-align-middle av-animated-generic left-to-right  column-top-margin'     ><style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-lylrbu7k-0a466639b709262664d6a4cf2fbba2cf\">\n#top .av_textblock_section.av-lylrbu7k-0a466639b709262664d6a4cf2fbba2cf .avia_textblock{\ncolor:#ffffff;\ntext-align:justify;\n}\n<\/style>\n<section  class='av_textblock_section av-lylrbu7k-0a466639b709262664d6a4cf2fbba2cf '   itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/BlogPosting\" itemprop=\"blogPost\" ><div class='avia_textblock av_inherit_color'  itemprop=\"text\" ><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Dr Vincent Pagiwa<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">FAR-LEAF Research Fellow<br \/>\nUniversity of Botswana<br \/>\n<strong>Botswana<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><!--close column table wrapper. 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